Thursday, September 29, 2011

Why You Should Short Bonds

There are three reasons why bonds would have a great return if you short them. They are as follows:

  • The credit risk of most bonds (including sovereign bonds) is high - especially compared to their respective ratings.
  • Interest rates are currently artificially low, and when they eventually rise - prices will fall (bond yield and price have inverse relationships).
  • Bonds are denominated in currencies. Currencies, such as the USD, will lose a lot of value in the coming times (due to Keynesian monetary policy).

All these ideas are from Doug Casey, and he has a proven track record of being right on the condition of the economy and where it's headed.

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