Tuesday, October 15, 2013

Burberry Dividend Arb

A quick note from the Markit News & Commentary team, concerning Dividends:

October 14th


Intraday Alert


Burberry Group plc
GB0031743007 (FTSE 100, STOXX Europe 600)

The company has published its planned payment schedule for the upcoming interim dividend, with a provisional ex-dividend date of December 23rd 2013.

This means that contrary to last year Burberry shares will trade-ex dividend after the December expiry for derivative contracts.

Any market participants rolling-forward last year's timetable are likely to expect shares to trade ex-dividend before the December expiry.

The provisional ex-date for next year's final dividend is the 2nd of July 2014.

Since non-Markit using market participants usually use last year's timetable as an estimate for future
dividend dates, this bit of news provides an arbitrage opportunity.

Burberry is current yielding only 1.83%, paying 29p on a price of 1,512.5p - so it might not be
extremely profitable, but it should be a riskless trade.

The method to tackle this would be in the following manner:

  • Buy the December 2013 Burberry single stock future (pricing in the dividend payment will
    undervalue the future price and thus it will be cheap)
  • Short equivalent shares of Burberry stock
  • Exit on expiration date